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Dire warning over 2009 job cuts.
At least 600,000 jobs could go in the UK in 2009, according to a report by a personnel managers' professional body. The Chartered Institute of Personnel and Development says even those who escape redundancy face pay freezes. It says that while total unemployment will not hit three million, the time between New Year and Easter will be the worst for job losses since 1991. According to official statistics, there were 1.86 million people out of work in the UK in October. That figure was the highest since 1997, taking the overall unemployment rate to 6%.The CIPD, which represents managers and personnel staff, issued its gloomy forecast a day after children's retailer Adams joined a growing list of well-known chains applying for administration. Chief economist John Philpott said: "This time last year, in the face of some scepticism, the CIPD warned that 2008 would be the UK's worst year for jobs in a decade.It was, but in retrospect it will be seen as merely the slow-motion prelude to what will be the worst year for jobs in almost two decades. "The CIPD's annual barometer forecast is that the UK economy will shed at least 600,000 jobs in 2009."Overall, the 18-month period from the start of the recession in mid-2008 until the end of 2009 will witness the loss of around three quarters of a million jobs, equivalent to the total net rise in employment in the preceding three years." Mr Philpott said job losses were likely to continue into 2010, taking the final toll to about one million. The CIPD also surveyed 2,600 workers and found that more than one in four did not expect a pay rise next year, while others feared a wage cut. The institute's reward adviser, Charles Cotton, said employees were "realistic about their pay prospects". "Against this backdrop, employers will need to work hard to find new ways to motivate their employees to perform," he said. Financial incentives and targeted investment in training and development could be effective ways to do this, he added. "More than ever, this is a time where organisations need to engage in an open and straightforward communication with staff, clearly explaining the reasons for any difficult measures that will affect them," he said. "This will help preserve staff loyalty and engagement even during times when unpopular decisions need to be made." .
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Jerusalem, (ANTARA News) - Pesawat-pesawat perang Israel telah menghantam 230 sasaran di Jalur Gaza sejak Sabtu. "Sebanyak 230 sasaran telah dihantam," kata jurubicara militer Israel seperti dikutip AFP. "Sasaran itu mencakup infrastruktur Hamas seperti gedung, depot senjata dan tempat peluncuran roket." Israel melancarkan serangan pemboman besar-besarannya terhadap Hamas di Gaza sejak Sabtu pagi. Aksi itu adalah salah satu operasi militer terbesar terhadap wilayah yang mereka rebut dalam perang 1967 itu. Sedikit-dikitnya 280 warga Palestina tewas dalam serangan gencar itu, sebagian besar dari mereka anggota Hamas, menurut dokter. Hamas membalas dengan menembakkan puluhan roket ke Israel, yang hanya menewaskan satu orang dan melukai sedikit orang lainnya.(*) .
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Forex Trading and the Credit Crisis
Tuesday, March 3, 2009

One thing that we can all be sure of is that there exists a major credit crisis that in one form or another will impact upon us all.

Just one short year ago, it was possible to purchase a house or car or boat with the smallest of down payments - if a deposit was even required at all, and to not have to bother with the tiresome details of how the repayments would be met.

House prices were reaching ever more impossible heights and many house owners were using their fast increasing equity values to help finance lives of abundance.

Of course it was obvious to any serious observer that this period of abundant living was unsustainable and it was this fact (amongst others) that helped the Fed to decide that the housing market was beginning to overheat and that a cycle of interest rate hikes would - and I quote - "cool the housing market".

As is so often the case when thing are out of balance, people over compensate. The Fed raised the rate too high and too fast. This resulted in not the desired "Cooling" but a complete melt down of the housing sector.

This in and of itself was not what the Fed had intended, but worse was to come.

Instead of a cooling period in which financial institutions would have had the opportunity to restructure their portfolios and rectify any imbalances that may have exposed them to uncomfortably high risk, their entire world dropped in on them.

Now please understand that I am not saying that many of the problems within the financial world were not exacerbated by wholesale greed, because I am sure that they were. But was it necessary to cause a global economic disaster to correct an over blown housing market?

The knock on effect of the above to the currency markets has been nothing short of sheer panic, and although this has not necessarily been a desirable outcome, it has presented some traders with some incredibly great trading opportunities.

As Rudyard Kipling said "If you can keep your head whilst all those around are losing theirs......."

Trading the currency markets has always required great patience and emotional control and during this financial upheaval - even more so.

The credit crisis may make trading more testing but it does also open some great opportunities to the patient market watcher.

It is never a good idea to just jump into a trade and never has that been more accurate than now.

This is the time to ensure that you are using your tried and tested trading method and that you are trading by the exact and proven rules.

Now is the time to be even more particular about your entry criteria - not less.

Now is the time to commit to spending more trading time watching and waiting and searching for the right conditions.

As Rudyard Kipling aptly put it "Now is the time to keep your head" and to find those opportunities that the less cool headed traders are missing completely.


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posted by lastiko hary murti @ Tuesday, March 03, 2009  
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